Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.057349 0.062083 0.066864 0.072048 0.077503 0.083065 0.089158
2025-04-20 0.049488 0.056391 0.063600 0.071665 0.080409 0.089577 0.099888
2025-04-27 0.044042 0.052535 0.061671 0.072170 0.083839 0.096354 0.110731
2025-05-04 0.040275 0.050051 0.060845 0.073538 0.087948 0.103695 0.122099
2025-05-11 0.037738 0.048647 0.060971 0.075756 0.092843 0.111811 0.134294
2025-05-18 0.032927 0.044199 0.057258 0.073265 0.092115 0.113383 0.138959
2025-05-25 0.029876 0.041593 0.055474 0.072810 0.093559 0.117291 0.146179
2025-06-01 0.027232 0.039276 0.053854 0.072383 0.094894 0.120969 0.153055
2025-06-08 0.026150 0.038821 0.054424 0.074536 0.099260 0.128179 0.164067
2025-06-15 0.024827 0.037948 0.054390 0.075877 0.102599 0.134151 0.173624
2025-06-22 0.023405 0.036844 0.053978 0.076679 0.105228 0.139246 0.182134
2025-06-29 0.021765 0.035339 0.052959 0.076634 0.106749 0.142963 0.188974
2025-07-06 0.020914 0.034897 0.053338 0.078416 0.110627 0.149665 0.199588
2025-07-13 0.019164 0.033095 0.051833 0.077698 0.111315 0.152441 0.205443
2025-07-20 0.017958 0.031991 0.051204 0.078073 0.113358 0.156876 0.213338
2025-07-27 0.017196 0.031483 0.051345 0.079437 0.116654 0.162871 0.223170
2025-08-03 0.016804 0.031495 0.052187 0.081734 0.121165 0.170411 0.234960
2025-08-10 0.014857 0.029027 0.049446 0.079087 0.119145 0.169658 0.236389
2025-08-17 0.013726 0.027745 0.048327 0.078598 0.119913 0.172407 0.242176
2025-08-24 0.012692 0.026548 0.047270 0.078142 0.120686 0.175136 0.247929
2025-08-31 0.012481 0.026677 0.048155 0.080409 0.125120 0.182599 0.259712
2025-09-07 0.012053 0.026418 0.048443 0.081821 0.128402 0.188584 0.269646
2025-09-14 0.011504 0.025920 0.048345 0.082664 0.130904 0.193562 0.278316